The Raw Truth — Friday, June 12, 2026
 

THE WATER COOLER The Big Three

#1: Inflation hits fastest pace in three years

US prices are rising at their fastest rate in three years, meaning the dollar in your pocket buys less groceries, gas, and everyday basics than it did just a short time ago.

The Raw Truth: If your paycheck hasn't gone up to match, you are quietly falling behind every single week. That tight feeling at the checkout line and the pump is real — it's not in your head. This is exactly why getting out of debt and building a cash cushion is not optional right now, it is survival.

#2: SBA stops loans for green card holders

The Small Business Administration, which has been a main source of affordable loans for small business owners for decades, has stopped lending to legal permanent residents — people who have green cards and have lived and worked here legally for years.

The Raw Truth: If you or someone you know runs a small business and relies on SBA loans to cover equipment, payroll, or slow seasons, that lifeline just got cut without warning. Small businesses are where a huge chunk of everyday Americans work, so when those owners get squeezed, layoffs and closures follow. This hits Main Street, not Wall Street.

#3: SpaceX IPO hype could wreck your retirement

SpaceX just completed a massive $75 billion stock offering, and the excitement around it is enormous — but financial experts are warning that chasing this hype, especially with retirement money, is a serious risk for anyone near or in retirement.

The Raw Truth: A hot new stock can drop 40 or 50 percent fast, and if you are 55 or 60 years old you do not have ten years to wait for it to come back. The Raw Truth is that your retirement account is not a lottery ticket — it is your freedom fund. Stick with boring, broad S&P 500 index funds through your workplace plan and let the hype train leave without you on it.
"Investing in the next generation is the highest-return investment any society can make."
— Jack Bogle
 
 
 
 

TRACKING YOUR S&P 500 INDEX FUND The Ownership 10

Your 401k S&P 500 index fund — whether you know it as VOO, FXAIX, or the Vanguard Institutional 500 Index Trust — owns all 500 of these companies. When they win, you win.

The Heavy Hitters — Working Hard for You Today:

Intel Corporation (INTC) 🟢 Up 9.27% — Word got out that the company may be getting bought out, and people rushed in to grab shares. They make the computer chips that power laptops, desktops, and servers all over the world.
Boeing Company (The) (BA) 🟢 Up 6.04% — News broke that they are close to settling a long-running safety dispute with federal regulators, which gave investors some relief. They build the planes — 737s, 787s — that you most likely flew on for your last trip.
Caterpillar (CAT) 🟢 Up 4.84% — Investors are feeling better about construction and infrastructure spending picking back up, and that is good news for this company. They make the big yellow bulldozers, excavators, and construction equipment you see tearing up roads and building sites.
Tesla (TSLA) 🟢 Up 4.60% — Drifting along with broader positive market energy today after a rough few weeks for the stock. They make the Tesla electric cars you see on the highway and also build home battery systems and solar products.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) 🟢 Up 4.51% — Drifting along with the broader market today as defense stocks caught a little wind. They build military jets, missiles, and defense systems — the F-35 fighter jet is their most famous product.

The Benchwarmers — Having a Tough Day (But Still on Your Team):

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) 🔴 Down 2.67% — Oil prices slipped today, and when oil gets cheaper, this company makes less money, so investors pulled back. They pump oil and natural gas out of the ground and probably supply the fuel at a gas station near you.
Salesforce (CRM) 🔴 Down 2.62% — The company made less money this past quarter than people were expecting, and shares dropped on the news. They sell the software that businesses use to keep track of their customers and sales teams — think of it as a giant digital rolodex for companies.
Chevron Corporation (CVX) 🔴 Down 2.10% — Falling oil prices dragged this one down right alongside its competitors today. They are one of the biggest oil and gas companies in the world and also own the Chevron and Texaco gas stations you fill up at.
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) 🔴 Down 1.77% — Drifting along with the broader market today as tech stocks took a mild step back. They make Windows, the Xbox, and run the cloud computer services that power a huge chunk of the internet behind the scenes.
Coca-Cola Company (The) (KO) 🔴 Down 1.27% — Drifting along with the broader market today as investors moved money toward faster-moving stocks. They make Coca-Cola, Sprite, Dasani water, and dozens of other drinks sitting in the fridge at your corner store right now.

Takeaway: Five companies are winning today. Five are hurting. Your index fund holds all 500. You never have to pick the right one. You just have to stay in. That is the whole game.

 
 
 
 

YOUR MONEY The Household Dashboard

Item Today Status
National Gas Avg (AAA) $4.13/gal 🟢 2¢ down today
DC Gas Avg (AAA) $4.40/gal 🟢 4¢ down today
30-Year Fixed Mortgage 6.52% 🟢 Trending
S&P 500 YTD Return see Scoreboard 🟢 Still growing
Credit Card APR Avg 22.30% 🔴 Record highs
Gas is down 2¢ nationally and 4¢ in DC today — prices are dipping, so fill up right now and log any work-related miles while the pump price is in your favor.
That 22.30% credit card APR is at record highs, which means every single day you carry a balance it is quietly eating your paycheck — call your card company today and ask for a rate reduction, or move that balance to your highest-priority payoff target this week.
 
 
 
 

YOUR RETIREMENT The Scoreboard: Daily vs. The Long Game

Investment Today 5-Yr Return 10-Yr Return
S&P 500 — VOO / FXAIX / Vanguard 500 🟢 +1.68% 🟢 +80.1% 🟢 +300.3%
Nasdaq — QQQ 🟢 +3.38% 🟢 +102.5% 🟢 +566.2%

The TV wants you to panic about the red dot on the left. The green numbers on the right are your real story. Stay in.

 
 
 
 

The Mailbag

"Hey Rock. I am completely at the end of my rope and I am terrified. My husband lost his job last year, and to keep the lights on and feed our three kids, we lived on credit cards. He finally found work again, but we are now $48,000 in the hole across four cards, all hitting us with 26% to 29% interest. The minimum payments are completely choking us. I am so desperate that I secretly started taking out payday loans just to cover the minimums so we don't default and lose our home. I sit in my car and cry on my lunch break every single day. I feel like we are drowning, I am hiding the payday loans from my husband, and there is absolutely no way out. How do we survive this?" — Jessica, Florida

Here is the raw truth, Jessica. Take a deep breath. Stop crying in the car. I hear the absolute panic in your voice, and I feel the heavy weight you are carrying for your family right now. But you need to hear this clearly: you are not going to drown, your life is not over, and there is a way out of this burning building.
But you have to stop pouring gasoline on the fire today.
Right now, you are trying to bail water out of a sinking boat by shooting holes in the bottom. Borrowing from a payday lender at 400% interest to pay a credit card company at 29% interest is financial suicide. You are letting the fear of a missed payment drive you into the arms of the most predatory lenders on the planet.
This ends right now. Today, you are stepping back onto the Raw Truth Roadmap, and we are going to fight our way out of this corner.
Here is your exact flight plan:
1. The Confession: You cannot fight this war alone. Tonight, you sit your husband down at the kitchen table and you tell him everything. No more secrets. No more hiding the math. You two are a team, and you have to get entirely on the same page to survive this.
2. Stop the Bleeding: You will never, ever walk into a payday loan establishment again. I do not care if you have to default on every single one of those credit cards and let them go to collections. Your credit score is not your priority right now. Survival is. Cut up the credit cards tonight.
3. Protect the Four Walls: Before a single dime goes to Visa, Mastercard, or a payday lender, you protect your family. Food on the table. Keep the lights and water on. Keep the roof over your head. Keep gas in the car to get to work. That is it. The creditors get absolutely nothing until your family is safe.
4. Scorched Earth: You are going on a scorched-earth budget. No restaurants. No vacations. No subscription boxes. You are selling everything in the house that is not bolted to the floor. You and your husband are working overtime, side hustles, and weekend jobs. You take every single extra dollar of cash flow and you attack those debts using the debt snowball—smallest balance to largest—until they are dead.

You have been carrying this nightmare by yourself for too long, Jessica. It is time to go to war for your family's future. It will be brutal, it will be exhausting, but it will be worth it. Step up to the line.

Send questions to [email protected]

 
 
 
 

THE MILLIONAIRE MANUAL Car Payments — Why the Most Normal Debt in America Is Quietly Draining Your Future

Everybody has a car payment, so it must be fine, right? That's exactly the kind of thinking that keeps the average American broke on a $60,000 salary.

The average new car payment right now is around $735 a month. That's $8,820 a year leaving your house before you buy a single grocery item. Stretch that over five years and you've handed $44,000 to a lender — for a machine that lost 20% of its value the day you drove it off the lot. And the moment you pay it off, the dealer is already calling you about 'upgrading,' which is just a polite word for starting the bleeding all over again.

The Move: Here's the kitchen-table playbook. First, pull up your current loan balance tonight — log into your lender's app or website and write that number down on a piece of paper. Then go to Kelley Blue Book at kbb.com and look up what your car is actually worth right now. If you owe more than it's worth, you're underwater, and you need to know that before you make another move. Do not trade it in — that just rolls the problem forward. Instead, attack that loan like it's the enemy: take whatever you would have put toward a 'move up' car and throw it at the principal every single month. If your payment is $500 and you can add even $150 extra, you cut months off that loan fast. Once it's paid off, keep driving it. Seriously. Bank that $500 to $700 a month into a simple high-yield savings account — try Marcus by Goldman Sachs or your existing bank's online savings — and save up to buy your next car in cash or as close to it as you can get. The 24-hour step: open your lender's app right now, find the 'make a payment' screen, and see if there is a field for 'extra principal payment.' If there is, put in even $25 tonight. That is not nothing. That is the beginning of the end of this payment.

The car payment is so normal it's invisible — and that invisibility is exactly what's keeping you one emergency away from disaster.

 
 
 
 

BACKPAGE The Wacky Corner

Back in the early 1800s, a German immigrant named John Jacob Astor built the American Fur Company into something the country had never seen before — a full-blown monopoly stretching from New York to the Pacific Northwest. He wasn't investing in paper. He was owning the actual supply chain: the trappers, the trade routes, the warehouses, the ships. By 1800 he was already worth what we'd call hundreds of millions today, and almost nobody outside merchant circles knew his name. Here's the wild part — when he finally cashed out of fur and poured everything into Manhattan real estate, people thought he was crazy for buying swampy land nobody wanted. He died in 1848 as the richest man in America, worth roughly $110 billion in today's dollars, all built on beaver pelts and dirt.

Lesson: Lesson: Astor didn't chase hype — he owned the thing everyone else needed, held it forever, and let time do the work.

 

🇺🇸 To the marine mechanic pulling apart a waterlogged outboard in a cold, damp shop on a Friday afternoon so a family's summer weekend isn't ruined — your grease-stained hands make the good memories possible.

Love y'all. Attack that debt. Keep those contributions running. The plan does not change.

See you on the road. — Rock (Craig)

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