The Raw Truth — Wednesday, June 17, 2026
 
 

YOUR RETIREMENT The Scoreboard: Daily vs. The Long Game

Investment Today 5-Yr Return 10-Yr Return
S&P 500 — VOO / FXAIX / Vanguard 500 🔴 -0.59% 🟢 +83.1% 🟢 +307.1%
Nasdaq — QQQ 🔴 -1.90% 🟢 +106.1% 🟢 +578.0%

The TV wants you to panic about the red dot on the left. The green numbers on the right are your real story. Stay in.

 
 
 
 

WORDS TO STEER BY The Daily Quote

"In the long run, it is not just how much money you make that will determine your future prosperity. It is how much of that money you put to work by saving it and investing it."

— Peter Lynch

 
 
 
 

The Mailbag

"Hey Rock. I have been working the debt snowball and doing great, but I still have about thirty thousand dollars in credit card debt hanging over my head at 24 percent interest. I was looking at my 401k and it is sitting near all time highs thanks to the recent market surge. Does it make sense to take out a 401k loan to completely wipe out the credit cards today? I figure I am paying myself the interest instead of the bank, and I instantly free up my monthly cash flow to invest more later" — Sarah, Texas

Here is the raw truth, Sarah. Absolutely not. You do not go anywhere near that 401k.
I know it sounds like a brilliant math trick to beat the banks at their own game, but it is absolute financial suicide. Your retirement account is an impenetrable fortress designed to protect your family decades from now. It is not a piggy bank to clean up a consumer debt mess today.
When you take a loan against your 401k, you are pulling those dollars completely out of the market. While you are busy paying yourself back over the next five years, those dollars are sitting on the sidelines missing out on the massive compounding growth of the 500 largest companies in America. You are literally stealing from your own future to pay for your past mistakes.
Even worse, you are putting a massive ticking time bomb right in the middle of your living room. If you lose your job, get laid off, or decide to change companies, that entire loan balance typically becomes due almost immediately. If you do not have the cash to pay it back, the IRS treats it as an early withdrawal. You will get hit with your full income tax rate plus a brutal 10 percent penalty on the entire amount. You are trading a credit card problem for an absolute tax emergency.
Here is your exact flight plan for today. First, you leave the retirement accounts completely alone. Let the machine do the heavy lifting. Second, you stop looking for a shortcut. You cannot borrow your way out of debt. You got into this mess by spending more than you make, and you are going to get out of it with a scorched earth budget and extreme discipline. Take a second job, sell anything that is not nailed down, and violently attack that debt snowball with every single extra dollar you can find.

There is no easy way out, but there is a permanent way out. Embrace the grind. Get back to work.

Send questions to [email protected]

 
 
 
 

YOUR MONEY The Household Dashboard

Item Today Status
National Gas Avg (AAA) $4.03/gal 🟢 2¢ down today
DC Gas Avg (AAA) $4.28/gal 🟢 4¢ down today
30-Year Fixed Mortgage 6.52% 🟢 Trending
S&P 500 YTD Return see Scoreboard 🟢 Still growing
Credit Card APR Avg 22.30% 🔴 Record highs
Gas is down today — nationally $4.03 and $4.28 in DC — so if your tank is running low, fill it up right now and lock in the small dip before prices bounce back up.
Credit card APR is sitting at a record-high 22.30% — that means every dollar you leave on that card is bleeding you dry, so take whatever is in your checking account above your small emergency cushion and throw it at that balance today.
 
 
 
 

THE MILLIONAIRE MANUAL The Prime Day Trap and How To Best The Algorithm

Here is the raw truth. Amazon Prime Day is not a national holiday. It is a highly engineered, psychologically weaponized wealth extraction event. The entire purpose of this massive marketing campaign is to create artificial panic and convince you that you are somehow losing money if you do not buy a television you never actually wanted. In today's manual, we are exposing exactly how the retail algorithm manipulates your spending, the unbiased tactics consumer watchdogs use to beat them at their own game, and exactly why financing these deals on a credit card is absolute financial suicide.

Let me expose exactly how the Amazon pricing machine works behind the curtain. They use a dynamic pricing algorithm that changes the cost of items millions of times a day. It constantly tracks your browsing history, monitors competitor prices, and measures real time demand. Worse, they manipulate the baseline. They will frequently inflate the original strike through price just weeks before the sale so that a mediocre 5 percent discount suddenly looks like a massive 40 percent steal. Consumer Reports and financial experts like Clark Howard have been warning us about this retail theater for years.
Here is the brutal mathematical reality about putting these supposed deals on plastic. If you save 15 percent on a new laptop, but you carry that balance on a credit card charging you 24 percent interest, you did not save a single dime. You mathematically lost money. You let the bank steal your discount and then charge you a premium for the privilege of staying in debt. You cannot outsmart the algorithm if you are financing the purchase.

The Move: Here is your exact flight plan to beat the machine, secure the absolute best price, and protect your cash flow.
First, you must verify the math. Do not ever trust the percentage off listed on the screen. Use a free price tracking site like CamelCamelCamel or Keepa to see the exact price history of that item over the last year. You will instantly see if it is a legitimate all time low or just a manufactured fake sale. Do not forget to check Target and Walmart, as they actively run aggressive anti Prime Day sales to steal Amazon's traffic.
Second, you enforce the list rule. Before you even open the app, you write down exactly what you actually need. If an item is not on your physical piece of paper, you do not buy it. You do not browse the lightning deals. You do not let a flashing countdown timer bully you into making a split second financial decision.
Third, you pay in full. If you cannot pay for the cart with the cash sitting in your checking account today, you cannot afford the deal.

You do not build an absolute fortress of wealth by buying depreciating junk you do not need just because it had a red discount sticker on it. Starve the algorithm, stick to the list, and protect your cash flow.

 
 
 
 

RESPECT The Tribute

🇺🇸 To the foundry molder pulling double shifts in 100-degree heat, pouring the iron castings that end up in every engine, pump, and machine keeping this country running — your hands built it all.

 
 
 
 

THE WATER COOLER The Big Three

#1: Fed Holds Rates Steady Under New Chairman

The Federal Reserve's new chairman, Kevin Warsh, held interest rates right where they were at his first meeting in charge, meaning borrowing costs are not going down yet for everyday Americans carrying debt.

The Raw Truth: If you have a car loan, credit card balance, or are hoping to buy a house, this matters to you right now. Rates staying high means every dollar of debt you carry keeps costing you more every single month. This is exactly why getting out of debt is not optional — it is survival.

#2: Your Oil Change Just Got More Expensive

Because of the conflict near the Strait of Hormuz, the cost of motor oil and lubricants is surging, and experts say even a peace deal will not fix it quickly since the U.S. does not produce enough of its own lubricant supply.

The Raw Truth: This is not an abstract market story — this is money leaving your wallet the next time you pull into a shop for routine maintenance. A basic oil change that used to run thirty or forty dollars is quietly creeping up, and it hits hardest on families already stretching a tight budget. Stack that on top of gas prices and grocery bills and you feel it in your chest before you even feel it in your bank account.

#3: Rent Deals Are Out There If You Know Where to Look

A construction boom has created more apartments than renters in many parts of the country, and roughly four out of ten rental listings on major sites are now offering move-in deals like a free month of rent to attract tenants.

The Raw Truth: If you are renting and your lease is coming up, right now is one of the better moments in recent years to negotiate or shop around — and a free month of rent is real money back in your pocket. That extra cash could be your starter emergency fund or your first debt payoff payment. Do not let a landlord keep that leverage without a fight.
 
 
 
 

TRACKING YOUR S&P 500 INDEX FUND The Ownership 10

Your 401k S&P 500 index fund — whether you know it as VOO, FXAIX, or the Vanguard Institutional 500 Index Trust — owns all 500 of these companies. When they win, you win.

The Heavy Hitters — Working Hard for You Today:

JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) 🟢 Up 3.68% — JPMorgan just announced plans to push its Chase digital bank into several new European countries over the next five years. They are the bank that probably holds your checking account, credit card, or mortgage.
Visa Inc. (V) 🟢 Up 2.87% — Visa made a big move to plug into AI-powered shopping and a new kind of digital payment called stablecoins, getting investors excited about where the company is headed. They run the network behind your Visa debit or credit card every time you swipe.
GE Aerospace (GE) 🟢 Up 2.77% — Airlines and the military both need more engines right now, and GE Aerospace is one of the few companies that can deliver them. They build the jet engines on most of the planes you fly.
Home Depot (HD) 🟢 Up 2.20% — Home Depot is showing early signs of steadying itself after a rough stretch, with more contractors and tradespeople spending money there again. They are the giant orange hardware store where you grab lumber, paint, and everything else for the house.
Mastercard Incorporated (MA) 🟢 Up 2.18% — Mastercard drifted along with the broader market today, rising alongside other financial stocks without a single company-specific event driving the move. They run the payment network behind your Mastercard whenever you tap or swipe at the register.

The Benchwarmers — Having a Tough Day (But Still on Your Team):

Intel Corporation (INTC) 🔴 Down 8.45% — Chip stocks across the board pulled back sharply Tuesday after a big run-up earlier in the week, and Intel got caught in that same wave coming down. They make the processors — the brains — inside millions of laptops and desktop computers.
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) 🔴 Down 4.37% — Broadcom got swept up in a broad sell-off that hit chip companies hard on Tuesday after investors decided to take some money off the table following a strong rally. They make the specialized chips that keep the internet, your cable box, and big data centers running.
Netflix (NFLX) 🔴 Down 3.61% — Netflix tried to buy Roku and got turned down, then a separate rumor about buying a movie studio was quickly shot down too, and investors did not love any of it. They run the streaming service you probably use to watch shows and movies on your TV at night.
Halliburton Company (HAL) 🔴 Down 2.57% — Energy stocks slid broadly as oil prices softened, and Halliburton got dragged down with the rest of the group. They are one of the big companies that goes out to oil fields and does the drilling and well work that gets oil out of the ground.
Ford Motor Company (F) 🔴 Down 2.44% — Crosstown rival GM just unveiled a flashy new Silverado pickup right as Ford's best-selling F-150 is losing steam, putting Ford in an uncomfortable spotlight. They are the American automaker that builds the F-150, the best-selling truck in the country for decades running.

Takeaway: Five companies are winning today. Five are hurting. Your index fund holds all 500. You never have to pick the right one. You just have to stay in. That is the whole game.

 
 
 
 

BACKPAGE The Wacky Corner

Here is the raw truth. Long before your bank had an app, there was NetBank.
Launched in 1996 out of Atlanta, it was the very first internet only bank in America. No physical branches. No tellers. Just a website promising the absolute future of finance. For a while, it worked perfectly. They amassed over 2.5 billion dollars in assets, and people thought they were absolute geniuses for ditching the drive through.
Then the brutal reality of the 2007 mortgage crisis hit. Their loan book completely collapsed, and the FDIC violently shut them down, making it the largest internet bank failure in history up to that point.
If you had under 100,000 dollars, the FDIC protected you. But the people who blindly chased a shiny new tech trend without asking exactly what was under the hood got absolutely crushed. Stop chasing fads.

Lesson: Lesson: New packaging on an old product is still just a product — own boring assets, not exciting promises.

 
 

Love y'all. Attack that debt. Keep those contributions running. The plan does not change.

See you on the road. — Rock (Craig)

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