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YOUR RETIREMENT
The Scoreboard: Daily vs. The Long Game
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| Investment |
Today |
5-Yr Return |
10-Yr Return |
| S&P 500 — VOO / FXAIX / Vanguard 500 |
🔴 -0.10% |
🟢 +79.4% |
🟢 +298.8% |
| Nasdaq — QQQ |
🔴 -0.42% |
🟢 +100.8% |
🟢 +560.9% |
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The TV wants you to panic about the red dot on the left. The green numbers on the right are your real story. Stay in.
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WORDS TO STEER BY
The Daily Quote
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"Investing is not a matter of how smart you are. It is a matter of how disciplined you are."
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— Howard Marks
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The Mailbag
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"Hey Craig. My husband and I have $38,000 in credit card debt spread across a few different cards, plus about $12,000 left on a car loan. We bought our house five years ago and have seen the value shoot up, so we have a ton of equity sitting there. Our bank reached out and offered us a Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) to consolidate all of our consumer debt into one 'easy monthly payment.' It mathematically drops our interest rate from 24 percent down to about 7.5 percent, and it immediately frees up almost $900 a month in our budget. This seems like an absolute no-brainer to finally get breathing room. Should we sign the paperwork?" — Emily, USA
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Here is the absolute raw truth, Emily. If you sign that paperwork, you are playing Russian roulette with your family’s largest asset. I need you to completely walk away from this deal right now. The bank is selling you a financial illusion disguised as a life raft. They want you to think you are magically "paying off" your debt, but you are not paying off a single dime. You are just moving the shell around the table. Let me break down the brutal reality of what a debt consolidation HELOC actually does. First, you are taking $50,000 of unsecured consumer debt—debt that the credit card companies can only yell at you about if you stop paying—and you are actively chaining it to the roof over your head. You are turning unsecured debt into secured debt. If life happens, if one of you loses a job, and you default on a credit card, your credit score tanks. If you default on a HELOC, the bank legally forecloses on your house and your family is out on the street. You do not risk your home to pay off a Visa bill. Second, this is the exact same trap as the 401(k) loan. You are trying to cure a behavioral disease with a math pill. You and your husband did not accidentally trip and fall into $50,000 of consumer debt. You spent more than you make. If you use your home equity to completely wipe the slate clean without feeling the absolute pain of paying it off, you have learned nothing. The statistical reality is that within two years, you will feel so "freed up" by that extra $900 a month that you will start swiping those credit cards again. Then you will have the HELOC payment and new credit card debt. Here is your exact flight plan. You leave your house equity completely alone. It is a fortress, not a piggy bank. You and your husband sit down tonight, get on a scorched-earth written budget, and cut up every single one of those credit cards. You take that Raw Truth Roadmap, you attack the smallest balance with absolute violence, and you work your way up.
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Stop looking for the easy way out. Buy your cash flow back the hard way so you never put yourselves in this position again.
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Send questions to [email protected]
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YOUR MONEY
The Household Dashboard
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| Item |
Today |
Status |
| National Gas Avg (AAA) |
$3.92/gal |
🟢 1¢ down today |
| DC Gas Avg (AAA) |
$4.18/gal |
🟢 1¢ down today |
| 30-Year Fixed Mortgage |
6.47% |
🟢 Trending |
| S&P 500 YTD Return |
see Scoreboard |
🟢 Still growing |
| Credit Card APR Avg |
22.30% |
🔴 Record highs |
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Gas is down just 1¢ nationally — nothing dramatic, but at $3.92 a gallon it is still eating your budget alive, so if your tank is below half, fill it up today and log those miles if you drive for work. |
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That 22.30% credit card APR is at record highs, which means every single dollar sitting on a card is bleeding you dry — today, call your card company and ask for a rate reduction, then throw every extra dollar you have at that balance before it grows another inch. |
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THE MILLIONAIRE MANUAL
Roth IRA Basics - Paying the IRS Today Is The Ultimate Wealth Cheat Code
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Here is the absolute raw truth. You have a silent business partner who is currently legally entitled to a massive chunk of your wealth, and his name is Uncle Sam. The financial industry loves to tell you to defer your taxes by putting your money into traditional, pre-tax retirement accounts. They tell you to take the tax break today because you will be in a "lower tax bracket" later. That is a completely toxic mindset for a wealth-builder. If you are executing the Raw Truth Roadmap, you are going to be wealthy in retirement—which means your taxes will absolutely be higher. Today, we are breaking down why the Roth IRA is the single greatest wealth-building weapon legally available to the American middle class, and why you need to lock the IRS out of your vault forever.
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Let’s look at the brutal mathematical reality of what happens when you choose 100 percent Roth over traditional pre-tax accounts: 1. Paying on the Seed versus the Harvest: With a traditional account, you do not pay taxes on the money you put in, but you pay ordinary income tax on every single dime you pull out in retirement. With a Roth account, you do the exact opposite. You pay taxes on the small "seed" you plant today, and the massive multi-million dollar "harvest" you pull out in retirement is completely, 100 percent tax-free. 2. The Compound Interest Shield: Imagine you invest $100,000 over your career, and the market compounds that money into $1.5 million. In a traditional account, the government gets to tax that $1.4 million in pure growth. In a Roth account, the government gets absolutely nothing. You get to keep every single penny of the growth that the market generated for you. 3. The 100 Percent Rule: This is where people get confused. They try to hedge their bets and do a 50/50 split between traditional and Roth. No. You go 100 percent Roth. You max out the Roth IRA, and if your employer offers a Roth 401(k) option, you put 100 percent of your contributions in there, too. You take the absolute pain of paying the taxes out of your paycheck today so you never have to write the IRS another check when you are seventy years old.
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The Move: Here is your exact flight plan to build your tax-free fortress. If you do not have a Roth IRA, you open one today. You go to a massive, low-cost brokerage firm like Fidelity, Vanguard, or Charles Schwab. You link your checking account and you automate your monthly contributions to hit the absolute legal maximum for the year. But you do not just leave it in cash. You take that money and aggressively buy broad-market index funds like an S&P 500 fund. You set it, you forget it, and you let the greatest wealth-creation engine in human history do its job without the government taking a cut.
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Stop trying to save a few pennies on your taxes today only to hand over hundreds of thousands of dollars to the government tomorrow. Pay the toll now, build your 100 percent Roth fortress, and lock the vault.
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RESPECT
The Tribute
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🇺🇸 To every refrigerated-freight driver running overnight hauls in January so grocery shelves stay full by sunrise — your frozen fingers and missed dinners feed families who will never know your name.
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THE WATER COOLER
The Big Three
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#1: Inflation Hits Worst Level in Three Years
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The government's most closely watched inflation measure jumped above 4% in May, the highest reading in three years, and it is now sparking serious talk about whether the Federal Reserve might actually raise interest rates again instead of cutting them.
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The Raw Truth: This means the groceries, the rent, the car payment — all of it stays expensive longer than you hoped. If the Fed raises rates, your credit card interest goes up, your car loan gets pricier, and any dream of refinancing your mortgage gets pushed further away. This is exactly why having zero debt is not just a goal — it is your shield against a system that is actively working against you right now. |
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#2: Apple Raises Prices on MacBooks and iPads
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Apple is hiking the prices on its laptops and tablets, pointing to skyrocketing memory chip costs as the reason families and students will now pay more to get their hands on these devices.
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The Raw Truth: If you were saving up to replace a busted laptop for your kid or yourself, that budget just got blown up. This is the ripple effect of inflation hitting the supply chain — it does not stay in the grocery store, it creeps into every corner of your spending. Before you finance anything at a store, stop and ask yourself if you can hold off, buy used, or save up the cash first. |
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#3: Medicare to Cover Weight-Loss Drugs for $50 a Month
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Starting July 1, older Americans on Medicare who qualify will be able to get GLP-1 weight-loss medications — the same drugs that cost hundreds of dollars a month out of pocket — for just $50 a month through their coverage.
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The Raw Truth: If you or someone you love is on Medicare and has been priced out of these medications, this is a real, concrete change that could save hundreds of dollars every single month. That is money that stays in your pocket instead of going to a pharmacy. Just make sure you talk to your doctor about the side effects and the muscle loss risks before you start — your health and your wallet both matter here. |
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TRACKING YOUR S&P 500 INDEX FUND
The Ownership 10
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Your 401k S&P 500 index fund — whether you know it as VOO, FXAIX, or the Vanguard Institutional 500 Index Trust — owns all 500 of these companies. When they win, you win.
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The Heavy Hitters — Working Hard for You Today:
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Home Depot (HD) 🟢 Up 5.67% — Home Depot is drifting along with the broader market today, as the most recent note on the stock just flagged that a shaky housing market is keeping things uncertain. They run those giant orange hardware stores where you grab paint, lumber, and everything else for fixing up your house. |
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GE Aerospace (GE) 🟢 Up 2.64% — All those new AI data centers need massive amounts of power to run, and GE makes the jet engines and turbines that help keep that electricity flowing. They build the jet engines on most planes you fly, and they also make the big industrial machines that power factories and power plants. |
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Boeing Company (The) (BA) 🟢 Up 1.63% — Boeing just landed a big government contract worth around two billion dollars to keep military satellites running in space. They build the planes you fly on and also make rockets, fighter jets, and other equipment for the military. |
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Deere & Company (DE) 🟢 Up 1.49% — Deere is getting attention lately as one of the top companies leading the push to put robots and automation to work on farms and job sites. They make those big green John Deere tractors and farm machines you see out in the fields. |
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Mastercard Incorporated (MA) 🟢 Up 1.30% — Europe is pushing forward with plans for a government-backed digital version of the euro, which could give Mastercard some new competition over there. They run the network behind your Mastercard — every time you swipe it at the grocery store, the money moves through their system. |
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The Benchwarmers — Having a Tough Day (But Still on Your Team):
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Halliburton Company (HAL) 🔴 Down 3.45% — Oil prices just dropped hard after ships started moving freely again through a key Middle East waterway, which is bad news for companies that depend on oil staying expensive. Halliburton is one of the big companies that goes out and helps drill oil wells for energy companies all over the world. |
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Chevron Corporation (CVX) 🔴 Down 2.57% — Oil prices fell sharply today as tankers started moving through the Strait of Hormuz again, and cheaper oil means less money coming in for big oil companies. Chevron is one of the largest oil and gas companies in the country — they pump oil, refine it, and sell it at gas stations under names like Chevron and Texaco. |
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Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) 🔴 Down 2.39% — Even after landing a massive thirty-five billion dollar deal to build more missile defense systems for the Pentagon, the stock is sliding today as investors are still weighing whether the defense business can fully bounce back. They make fighter jets like the F-35, missile systems, and military equipment used by the U.S. and its allies around the world. |
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Walt Disney Company (The) (DIS) 🔴 Down 2.33% — Disney just lost a little more ground in the battle for your TV time, slipping in the latest report tracking what Americans are actually watching at home. They run Disney Plus, ESPN, ABC, and of course the theme parks your kids never stop begging you to visit. |
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Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) 🔴 Down 2.27% — The cost of running AI is falling fast as new cheaper models flood the market, and that is raising questions about whether the massive bets big tech companies made will pay off the way they hoped. Microsoft makes Windows, runs the Xbox, owns Teams and Office, and is one of the biggest players behind the AI tools showing up everywhere right now. |
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Takeaway: Five companies are winning today. Five are hurting. Your index fund holds all 500. You never have to pick the right one. You just have to stay in. That is the whole game.
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BACKPAGE
The Wacky Corner
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Back in 1996, a part-time notary and full-time dreamer named Larry Murante convinced almost the entire town of Williamsburg, Iowa to invest in his plan to bottle and sell the mineral spring water running under his property. Local TV in Cedar Rapids picked it up, the story went regional, and for about six weeks Larry was the most famous man in Benton County. Tourists drove in, investors called the house phone, and one Chicago paper ran the headline 'Iowa Man Sits on Liquid Gold.' Then a state geologist tested the water and reported it was, in every measurable way, completely ordinary groundwater. Larry quietly returned what money he could, the spring was capped, and Williamsburg went back to being known mostly for its Czech heritage festival.
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Lesson: Lesson: Hype turns plain water into gold and then back into plain water — ownership of something real and boring always beats a headline.
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Love y'all. Attack that debt. Keep those contributions running. The plan does not change.
See you on the road. — Rock (Craig)
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