The Raw Truth — Wednesday, July 22, 2026
 
 

YOUR RETIREMENT The Scoreboard: Daily vs. The Long Game

Investment Today 5-Yr Return 10-Yr Return
S&P 500 — VOO / FXAIX / Vanguard 500 🟢 +0.83% 🟢 +77.9% 🟢 +306.7%
Nasdaq — QQQ 🟢 +1.85% 🟢 +92.3% 🟢 +552.5%

The TV wants you to panic about the red dot on the left. The green numbers on the right are your real story. Stay in.

 
 
 
 

WORDS TO STEER BY The Daily Quote

"It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future."

— Niels Bohr

 
 
 
 

The Mailbag

"Hey Rock. We are working the Raw Truth roadmap and we just completely wiped out all of our credit card debt. The only thing we have left is about $18,000 on my wife's student loans. I currently drive a 2015 Honda Accord that is fully paid off and runs perfectly fine. But with our second baby on the way my coworkers keep telling me I need to upgrade to a larger SUV for safety and space. A local dealership offered me a trade in deal where I would be paying $750 a month for a newer SUV. My wife thinks we should just keep the Honda and throw that $750 at her student loans every month. Who is right?" — Mike, Denver

Mike your wife is absolutely 100% right. You need to listen to her and run as far away from that dealership as possible.
I completely understand the nesting instinct when a new baby is on the way. You want them to be safe and you want to have plenty of room. But your coworkers are feeding you the exact same toxic car payment culture that keeps the entire middle class completely broke.
Here is the absolute raw truth about upgrading your car right now. A 2015 Honda Accord is an incredibly safe and reliable vehicle. Two car seats fit in the back of a sedan perfectly fine. People raised entire generations of families in four door sedans before society decided everyone needed a massive luxury SUV to go to the grocery store.
Here is the brutal reality of what happens if you sign that paperwork:
1. You Kill Your Momentum: You guys just did the hard work of crushing your credit cards. You are right on the verge of being completely consumer debt free. If you take on a $750 a month car payment you are voluntarily throwing yourselves right back into the exact same trap you just fought so hard to escape.
2. The Depreciation Trap: You are trading a paid off asset for a massive depreciating liability. That SUV is going to lose thousands of dollars in value the second you drive it off the lot and you will be paying interest on something that goes down in value every single day.
3. The Wealth Engine Drain: $750 a month invested in a broad market index fund over the next couple of decades would turn into hundreds of thousands of dollars. Instead you are going to hand it to a bank for a car that will eventually end up in a junkyard.
Here is your exact execution strategy.
Keep the Honda. Take it to a trusted local mechanic and spend a few hundred bucks getting it completely detailed and making sure the brakes and tires are in perfect shape for the new baby.
Then you take that $750 a month you were ready to give to the dealership and you attack your wife's student loans with absolute intensity. You wipe out that $18,000 and you clear the roadmap. Once you are completely debt free and your wealth engine is firing on all cylinders you can save up the cash and buy a slightly used SUV outright without owing the bank a single dime.

Tell your coworkers you are too busy building a financial fortress to care about what you look like at the red light.

Send questions to [email protected]

 
 
 
 

YOUR MONEY The Household Dashboard

Item Today Status
National Gas Avg (AAA) $4.02/gal 🔴 2¢ up today
DC Gas Avg (AAA) $4.13/gal 🔴 1¢ up today
30-Year Fixed Mortgage 6.55% 🟢 Trending
S&P 500 YTD Return see Scoreboard 🟢 Still growing
Credit Card APR Avg 22.30% 🔴 Record highs
Gas is rising — national average hit $4.02 and ticked up another 2¢ today, so fill that tank right now before it climbs any higher this week.
Your credit card is quietly charging you 22.30% interest at record highs, meaning every dollar you don't throw at that balance today is costing you more than almost any investment can earn you — pay something extra today.
 
 
 
 

THE MILLIONAIRE MANUAL THE ALGORITHM TAX: How Surveillance Pricing is Robbing You Blind

oday we are exposing a completely invisible tax that is draining your wallet every time you open your phone. You already know how inflation works, but there is a totally different game being played against you right now called surveillance pricing. The massive tech companies and retailers are tracking every single click, swipe, and location ping to figure out exactly how much financial pain you can tolerate—and then they raise the price right in front of your eyes. I am here to give you the absolute raw truth. You are being actively punished for your own data. Today we are shutting it down.

Let's look at the brutal reality of how this works. This is not some tin foil hat conspiracy. It is just ruthless corporate math. The algorithms know what kind of phone you are holding. They know the exact zip code you are sitting in. They know exactly how many times you have looked at a specific product.
Walking up and down the aisle of the plane every single week, I see this happening in real time. I talk to passengers sitting right next to each other who paid wildly different prices for the exact same flight. The algorithm knew one person was booking from a high-income zip code using an expensive device, and it knew the other was browsing on a budget laptop. Same exact service. Completely different price.
They do this with hotels, ride-shares, and even your online retail orders. If the algorithm knows your phone battery is at 5% and you urgently need a ride, the price suddenly surges. They are weaponizing your own data to extract every single spare dollar from your budget before you can get it into your wealth engine.

The Move: Your execution strategy is all about going completely invisible and starving the algorithm of the data it needs to overcharge you.
Here is exactly how you execute this piece of the roadmap:
1. Go Dark: Never book major purchases or travel on your regular browser. Always open an incognito or private window. Better yet, clear your cookies and cache entirely before you click buy. Force the system to treat you like a brand new anonymous customer.
2. Change Your Location: Use a Virtual Private Network (VPN) to completely mask your location. If you are shopping from a high-income area, the algorithm will absolutely try to charge you a premium. Bounce your connection to a different state and watch the price drop.
3. The Walk Away: Log into your retail account, put the item in your cart, and then completely close the app. Walk away for 24 to 48 hours. When the algorithm realizes it is losing the sale, it will almost always email you a 15% or 20% discount code to close the deal.

Building a financial fortress means playing absolute defense against the machines trying to tear it down. Stop feeding the algorithm your data and start keeping your cash exactly where it belongs—working for you in your broad market index funds.

 
 
 
 

RESPECT The Tribute

🇺🇸 To every sewer maintenance worker crawling into a confined space at 2 a.m. so a neighborhood's pipes don't back up into someone's kitchen — your shift never makes the news, but it makes everything else possible.

 
 
 
 

THE WATER COOLER The Big Three

#1: 1 in 4 Workers Trapped in Jobs for Health Insurance

A new survey finds about 24% of American workers are staying in jobs they want to leave solely because they cannot afford to lose their health insurance, a number that has jumped sharply since 2021.

The Raw Truth: If you have ever felt chained to a job you hate because quitting means your family loses coverage, you are not alone and you are not weak. That fear is real, it is expensive, and it is quietly killing people's ability to build a better life. This is exactly why getting your emergency fund and your debt cleared matters so much — the more financial breathing room you create, the more choices you actually have.

#2: Trump Hits Canada with 50% Tariffs — Your Wallet Feels It

President Trump announced 50% tariffs on most goods coming in from Canada, targeting autos, alcohol, and dairy products, saying Canada has been unfair to American industries.

The Raw Truth: Canada is one of our biggest trading partners, which means this hits the grocery store, the car lot, and the lumber yard — places regular families actually spend money. If you buy dairy, drink beer, or are thinking about a new or used vehicle, expect prices to creep up as businesses pass those costs straight to you. This is not abstract trade policy — it is another squeeze on a budget that is already stretched thin.

#3: Claiming Social Security Early — The Argument Nobody Makes

A MarketWatch column argues that for many average Americans, claiming Social Security benefits as early as possible makes more financial sense than waiting, pushing back against the conventional advice to delay as long as you can.

The Raw Truth: Most financial advice tells you to wait until 70 to claim Social Security, but that math only works if you are healthy, have other income to live on, and actually make it that long — and a lot of us do not fit that picture. If you are in your early 60s, worn out, and need the money now, taking it early might be the right call for your real life, not just a spreadsheet. Know your break-even number, talk to someone you trust, and make the decision that fits your body and your family — not someone else's theory.
 
 
 
 

TRACKING YOUR S&P 500 INDEX FUND The Ownership 10

Your 401k S&P 500 index fund — whether you know it as VOO, FXAIX, or the Vanguard Institutional 500 Index Trust — owns all 500 of these companies. When they win, you win.

The Heavy Hitters — Working Hard for You Today:

Intel Corporation (INTC) 🟢 Up 8.64% — A major chip equipment company just reported stronger sales and raised its outlook for the year, and Intel is riding that good news since it uses that equipment to make its chips. Intel is the company that makes the processors — the brains — inside most laptops and desktop computers.
General Motors Company (GM) 🟢 Up 4.91% — GM just reported that it made more money this quarter than people expected and bumped up its targets for the rest of the year. They build Chevy, GMC, Buick, and Cadillac — the trucks and SUVs you see at every stoplight.
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) 🟢 Up 3.51% — UnitedHealth just told investors it is making more money than it thought it would this year, and that sent the stock climbing. They are one of the biggest health insurance companies in the country — there is a good chance your employer-sponsored health plan runs through them.
Caterpillar (CAT) 🟢 Up 2.97% — Caterpillar is drifting along with the broader market today, moving up with the Dow's overall good day rather than any single company news. They make those massive yellow bulldozers, excavators, and construction machines you see tearing up roads and building sites everywhere.
Tesla (TSLA) 🟢 Up 2.53% — Tesla is set to report its quarterly results after the market closes today, and investors are buying in ahead of that announcement, hoping for good news on car sales. They make the electric vehicles you see on the highway and are also betting big on self-driving taxis and robots.

The Benchwarmers — Having a Tough Day (But Still on Your Team):

Halliburton Company (HAL) 🔴 Down 5.47% — Even though Halliburton brought in more money this quarter, the war in the Middle East is hurting a chunk of their business, and that is scaring investors enough to push the stock down. They are the company that goes out to oil fields around the world and does the heavy technical work to get oil and gas out of the ground.
Boeing Company (The) (BA) 🔴 Down 2.23% — Boeing is picking a public fight with Airbus over a massive government-backed loan Airbus received from Europe, and that drama is making investors nervous. They build the commercial jets — like the 737 and 787 — that most of us fly on every time we book a flight.
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) 🔴 Down 2.23% — Northrop Grumman's stock hit a new 52-week low today after the company reported that its profit margins are getting squeezed, even with a record pile of orders on the books. They are a defense contractor that builds things like stealth bombers and missile systems for the U.S. military.
Salesforce (CRM) 🔴 Down 2.15% — There are no company-specific headlines driving Salesforce today, so it is drifting along with the broader market today. They make the software that companies use to keep track of their customers, sales calls, and deals — think of it as a giant digital rolodex for businesses.
Mastercard Incorporated (MA) 🔴 Down 1.67% — Reports are swirling that Mastercard is thinking about selling off a big piece of its payment processing business in the UK, and investors are not sure yet if that is a good or bad move. They run the payment network behind that Mastercard logo on your debit or credit card every time you swipe it at the register.

Takeaway: Five companies are winning today. Five are hurting. Your index fund holds all 500. You never have to pick the right one. You just have to stay in. That is the whole game.

 
 
 
 

BACKPAGE The Wacky Corner

Back in 2000, a company called Flooz.com convinced Whoopi Goldberg to be the face of their brand-new internet currency — basically fake online cash you could spend at partner stores instead of using a real credit card. They raised and burned through roughly $35 million in venture money trying to get regular shoppers to swap real dollars for Flooz bucks. The whole thing collapsed in August 2001 when it came out that organized crime rings in Russia and the Philippines had been using stolen credit cards to buy massive amounts of Flooz and launder it — meaning the company's best customers were literally criminals. Whoopi reportedly never got paid her full endorsement fee, and every single Flooz balance every regular customer had saved up just vanished overnight, worthless.

Lesson: Lesson: If you can't hold it, own it outright, or spend it at your grocery store without a translator, it is not a real asset — it is someone else's science experiment funded by your trust.

 
 

Love y'all. Attack that debt. Keep those contributions running. The plan does not change.

See you on the road. — Rock (Craig)

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