The Raw Truth — Tuesday, May 05, 2026
 

THE WATER COOLER The Big Three

#1: Beer Sales Are Back and Wall Street Is Celebrating

Budweiser and Corona's parent company just reported that more people are buying their beer again, and investors pushed the stock price up sharply in response.

The Raw Truth: When a beer giant has a good quarter, the people with money in the market cheer — but if you are stretched thin at the grocery store, you already know you have been cutting back on the extras. That is not a personal failure. That is the economy squeezing the middle. The Raw Truth is that your spending choices are showing up in corporate earnings reports, and the companies are watching you a lot more closely than anyone is watching out for you.

#2: Robots Are Taking Waste Sorting Jobs Right Now

Waste management companies that cannot find enough workers are bringing in humanoid robots to sort through trash and recycling instead.

The Raw Truth: This is not a sci-fi story about the future — this is happening today in jobs that real people depend on to keep the lights on. If your household runs on hourly work or a trade that feels replaceable, this is a loud reminder that building even a small financial cushion is not optional anymore. The less debt you are carrying, the less terrifying it is when an industry starts swapping people out for machines.

#3: World Cup Hotels Are Sitting Empty With Weeks to Go

Hotels near World Cup venues are reporting that bookings are coming in way below what they expected, which is a serious warning sign with the tournament almost here.

The Raw Truth: When big events that were supposed to be cash windfalls start falling flat, it tells you that regular families are tapped out and not spending on travel the way the projections assumed. If your job touches hospitality, tourism, or anything event-driven, this is worth paying attention to because slow bookings mean slow paychecks down the line. Keeping your expenses lean right now is not being cheap — it is being smart when the economic signals are this mixed.
"Do not wait; the time will never be 'just right.' Start where you stand, and work with whatever tools you may have at your command."
— Napoleon Hill
 
 
 
 

TRACKING YOUR S&P 500 INDEX FUND The Ownership 10

Your 401k S&P 500 index fund — whether you know it as VOO, FXAIX, or the Vanguard Institutional 500 Index Trust — owns all 500 of these companies. When they win, you win.

The Heavy Hitters — Working Hard for You Today:

Mastercard Incorporated (MA) 🟢 Up 1.87% — Drifting along with the broader market today. They run the network behind your Mastercard — every time you swipe at the grocery store or gas station, they get a tiny cut of that transaction.
Amazon.com (AMZN) 🟢 Up 1.41% — Drifting along with the broader market today. They run the website where you order everything from diapers to TVs, and they also power a huge chunk of the internet behind the scenes for thousands of other companies.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) 🟢 Up 1.05% — Drifting along with the broader market today. They build military jets, missiles, and defense systems — if you have ever seen an F-35 fighter jet, that is one of theirs.
Salesforce (CRM) 🟢 Up 0.90% — Drifting along with the broader market today. They make the software that helps businesses keep track of their customers — think of it as a giant digital rolodex that salespeople and companies use every single day.
Chevron Corporation (CVX) 🟢 Up 0.87% — Drifting along with the broader market today. They are one of the biggest oil and gas companies in the country — they drill it, refine it, and sell it, including at Chevron gas stations you have probably pulled into.

The Benchwarmers — Having a Tough Day (But Still on Your Team):

Intel Corporation (INTC) 🔴 Down 3.85% — They made a lot less money this quarter than people thought they would, and that spooked a lot of folks. They make the chips — the tiny brains — inside a huge number of laptops and desktop computers.
Home Depot (HD) 🔴 Down 3.54% — They made less money than people were expecting and said the next few months look slower too. They are the big orange hardware store where you grab paint, lumber, and tools for your weekend projects.
Ford Motor Company (F) 🔴 Down 3.20% — They warned that rising costs are eating into what they actually take home, and that made investors nervous. They build Ford trucks, Mustangs, and Broncos — probably one of the most recognizable car brands in your neighborhood.
Boeing Company (The) (BA) 🔴 Down 2.67% — Ongoing production problems and safety concerns are still making people uneasy about where the company is headed. They build the commercial airplanes you fly on for most domestic trips, plus military aircraft and spacecraft.
Procter & Gamble Company (The) (PG) 🔴 Down 2.61% — People are buying fewer of their products because prices have stayed high and shoppers are cutting back, which hit them harder than expected. They make the everyday stuff already in your home — Tide detergent, Pampers diapers, Gillette razors, and Crest toothpaste.

Takeaway: Five companies are winning today. Five are hurting. Your index fund holds all 500. You never have to pick the right one. You just have to stay in. That is the whole game.

 
 
 
 

YOUR MONEY The Household Dashboard

Item Today Status
National Gas Avg (AAA) $4.48/gal 🔴 3¢ up today
DC Gas Avg (AAA) $4.53/gal 🔴 3¢ up today
30-Year Fixed Mortgage 6.30% 🟢 Trending
S&P 500 YTD Return see Scoreboard 🟢 Still growing
Credit Card APR Avg 22.30% 🔴 Record highs
Gas is rising — national average hit $4.48 and climbed another 3¢ today, so fill up right now before it climbs again tomorrow.
Your credit card is quietly charging you 22.30% interest at record highs — every dollar sitting on that balance is burning, so throw any extra cash at that card today.
 
 
 
 

YOUR RETIREMENT The Scoreboard: Daily vs. The Long Game

Investment Today 5-Yr Return 10-Yr Return
S&P 500 — VOO / FXAIX / Vanguard 500 🔴 -0.36% 🟢 +80.2% 🟢 +306.0%
Nasdaq — QQQ 🔴 -0.19% 🟢 +95.6% 🟢 +571.6%

The TV wants you to panic about the red dot on the left. The green numbers on the right are your real story. Stay in.

 
 
 
 

The Mailbag

"My husband and I are barely keeping our heads above water. Gas prices just hit another all-time high here, and it's costing us $110 more every single month just to commute to work and get the kids to school. We feel like we're doing everything right—we cut our streaming services, we stopped eating out, but it feels like the money we 'saved' just vanished at the pump. It's so demoralizing. Is there even a point to the 'debt snowball' and trying to save for an emergency fund when a price spike feels like it just resets all our hard work? Should we just give up on the '100-Day Money Glow Up' and accept that we're just managing payments?" — Kim, Maryland

Kim, I hear you. You cut the streaming. You stopped eating out. You did the hard things — and then the gas pump just reached into your pocket and took it all back. That feeling of running on a treadmill that someone keeps speeding up? That is real, and it is exhausting, and you are not crazy for feeling demoralized right now.
But here is what I need you to see. You are not back at zero. You are not. The $110 the gas pump stole from you this month would have disappeared anyway — into a restaurant, into a subscription, into thin air — if you had not already built the habit of watching where your money goes. That habit is the whole game. The debt snowball and the emergency fund are not about having a perfect month. They are about having a system that bends without breaking when life hits you. And life just hit you. So you adjust the budget line for gas, you protect the minimum snowball payment like it is a bill you cannot skip, and you keep moving. Giving up does not make the $110 come back. It just means you also lose the ground you already fought for.

Tonight, open your budget, move money from a flexible category like groceries or household supplies to cover the gas spike, lock in your minimum debt snowball payment as untouchable, and keep going — one adjusted month is not a failure, it is the plan working exactly like it is supposed to.

Send questions to [email protected]

 
 
 
 

THE MILLIONAIRE MANUAL Beware of Car Payments — The Debt That's Quietly Eating Your Future

You needed a way to get to work, so you signed the papers. Now that car payment owns a piece of every paycheck before you even see it.

The average new car payment right now is over $700 a month. That's $8,400 a year leaving your house just to sit in a parking lot. Stretch that over five years and you've handed $42,000 to a lender for something that lost 20% of its value the day you drove it off the lot. And if you're carrying high-interest debt on top of that payment, you are running uphill in boots.

The Move: Tonight, open your bank app and find that car payment line. Write down the exact payoff balance and the interest rate — that number is going to make this real. If you're current on your payments and your rate is above 7%, call your lender tomorrow and ask flat out if they have a hardship rate or a refinance option — some do, and it takes five minutes to ask. If the car is worth more than you owe, go to KBB.com right now and check your trade-in value — some people in this situation can sell the car, buy a $4,000 to $6,000 reliable used Honda or Toyota with cash, and pocket the difference to attack other debt. If you're underwater and can't get out yet, that is okay — stop here, make the minimum payment, and pile every extra dollar onto your smallest non-car debt first using the smallest-debt-first method so you build momentum. The one thing you do tonight: pull up KBB.com, type in your car, and get that number. That single number tells you what your options are. You cannot make a move until you know where you stand.

The car payment feels normal because everybody has one — that is exactly why everybody is broke.

 
 
 
 

BACKPAGE The Wacky Corner

Back in the early 1990s, a cryptographer named David Chaum built a company called DigiCash and invented something called eCash — a fully anonymous digital currency that banks could actually use. The Dutch central bank tested it. Mark Twain Bank in Missouri signed on. It worked. But Chaum reportedly turned down a $180 million buyout offer from Microsoft in 1994 because he wanted a bigger cut, and the whole thing collapsed into bankruptcy by 1998 before most people had even heard of it. He had the golden ticket, held it too tight, and watched it dissolve in his hand.

Lesson: Lesson: A real asset sitting in your hands beats a dream deal you're still negotiating — own the thing, lock it in, and stop waiting for a better offer that may never come.

 

🇺🇸 To every overnight gas station attendant running a one-person shift through the cold, quiet hours so the rest of us can fill up and keep moving — we see you.

Love y'all. Attack that debt. Keep those contributions running. The plan does not change.

See you on the road. — Rock (Craig)

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