The Raw Truth — Thursday, July 09, 2026
 
 

YOUR RETIREMENT The Scoreboard: Daily vs. The Long Game

Investment Today 5-Yr Return 10-Yr Return
S&P 500 — VOO / FXAIX / Vanguard 500 🔴 -0.26% 🟢 +77.2% 🟢 +305.2%
Nasdaq — QQQ 🟢 +0.28% 🟢 +92.9% 🟢 +554.8%

The TV wants you to panic about the red dot on the left. The green numbers on the right are your real story. Stay in.

 
 
 
 

WORDS TO STEER BY The Daily Quote

"The investor's greatest enemy is not the market, but the face staring back at him in the mirror — his own fear and greed."

— Morgan Housel

 
 
 
 

The Mailbag

"Hey Rock. I just got a massive promotion at work and a $15,000 raise. My current car is about ten years old and starting to look a little rough. The dealership down the street is running a special lease deal on a brand new truck and the monthly payment easily fits into my new budget. Is leasing a smart move to avoid maintenance costs while I enjoy the fruits of my hard work?" — Mike , Florida

Mike absolutely not. Step away from the dealership and do not sign that paperwork.
I am incredibly proud of you for getting that promotion and grinding it out at work. But taking your brand new raise and immediately handing it over to a car finance company is a massive mistake.
Here is the absolute raw truth about leasing a vehicle. A car lease is the single most expensive way to operate a vehicle on planet Earth. It is a complete financial trap designed to keep the middle class broke while they try to look rich.
Here is the brutal reality of what is actually happening when you sign a lease:
1. You Are Renting Depreciation: You are paying for the absolute steepest part of that truck's depreciation curve. For three straight years you are making a massive payment and at the end of the term you have to hand the keys back. You own absolutely nothing. Zero equity.
2. The Payment Trap: Dealerships want you focused entirely on the monthly payment because it hides the terrible math of the deal. Just because a payment fits into your monthly cash flow does not mean you can actually afford the truck.
3. The Penalty Game: Try driving over your strict mileage limit or getting a minor scratch on the bumper from a shopping cart. The dealership will nickel and dime you to death with fees when you try to turn that vehicle back in.
You do not build a financial fortress by renting depreciating liabilities. You are using your new income to inflate your lifestyle instead of accelerating your wealth.
Here is your exact execution strategy.
Keep driving your ten year old car. Take every single dollar of that new raise and throw it directly at your 9 step roadmap. If you are still in the debt phase use it to crush your consumer debt with absolute intensity. If you are in the investing phase pour it straight into your broad market index funds and let it compound.
When you hit the later steps of the roadmap and you are completely debt free with a fully funded emergency fund you can save up the cash and buy a truck outright.

Stop trying to look wealthy and do the hard work to actually become wealthy.

Send questions to [email protected]

 
 
 
 

YOUR MONEY The Household Dashboard

Item Today Status
National Gas Avg (AAA) $3.85/gal 🔴 5¢ up today
DC Gas Avg (AAA) $4.05/gal 🟢 1¢ down today
30-Year Fixed Mortgage 6.43% 🟢 Trending
S&P 500 YTD Return see Scoreboard 🟢 Still growing
Credit Card APR Avg 22.30% 🔴 Record highs
National gas is $3.85 and climbing — 5 cents up just today — so stop what you are doing and fill that tank right now before it costs you more tomorrow.
Credit card APR is sitting at a record-high 22.30% — that means every dollar you leave on that balance is bleeding you dry, so throw every spare dollar at that card today, even if it is just $20.
 
 
 
 

THE MILLIONAIRE MANUAL THE REWARDS ILLUSION Why Playing the Credit Card Points Game is a Massive Trap

Today we are taking a sledgehammer to one of the biggest lies the banking industry has ever sold the middle class. You hear it at every family cookout and in every office breakroom. Someone bragging about the free flight to Florida they got using their credit card points. They think they are outsmarting the system. I am here to give you the absolute raw truth. The banks are not losing money on you. The credit card points game is a massive psychological trap designed to make you overspend and stay completely tethered to the debt cycle. Today we are exposing the math behind the rewards illusion and why real generational wealth is built with cash.

Let's look at the brutal reality of how these billion dollar credit card companies actually operate. They build massive skyscrapers in New York City because they understand human behavior better than you do. When you swipe a piece of plastic or tap your phone you do not feel the pain of parting with your hard earned money. The data proves you spend significantly more at the grocery store or the restaurant when you use a credit card instead of cash. So you end up spending an extra $200 a month just to get $15 back in airline miles. That is absolutely terrible math.
Furthermore the banks know that a huge percentage of people who play the points game will eventually slip up. You have one bad month or one unexpected emergency and suddenly you are carrying a balance. The exact minute you pay 24% interest on a credit card balance your little 2% cash back reward is completely destroyed. You are funding the bank's record profits while trying to earn a cheap hotel room.

The Move: Your execution strategy today is to stop playing games with snakes. You do not build a multi million dollar net worth by chasing points. You build it by controlling your behavior and commanding your cash flow.
Here is exactly how you execute this piece of the roadmap:
1. Cut the Plastic: If you are in the early debt clearing steps of our 9 step roadmap you need to cut those cards up today. Close the accounts and remove the temptation entirely.
2. Switch to Debit: Use a debit card tied directly to your checking account. When the money is gone it is gone. This forces you to stick strictly to your written budget.
3. Focus on Real Growth: The mental energy you spend tracking spending categories and rotating reward cards needs to be redirected entirely. Putting that focus into your career and pouring your cash into broad market index funds like VOO or FXAIX is the ultimate reward.

You will never meet a real millionaire who says they built their entire fortune on 2% cash back. They built it by living on less than they make staying completely out of debt and investing with absolute intensity. Stop playing the bank's game and start building your own fortress.

 
 
 
 

RESPECT The Tribute

🇺🇸 To every Army 68W Combat Medic running aid stations on back-to-back deployments — you kept people breathing when the margin for error was zero, and most of America never learned your name.

 
 
 
 

THE WATER COOLER The Big Three

#1: Stamp prices going up again this weekend

The US Postal Service is raising the price of a stamp on July 12, 2026 — the eighth price hike in just five years. Every time you mail a bill, a birthday card, or a check, it costs you a little more.

The Raw Truth: This one sounds small until you add it up. If you are still mailing anything — insurance payments, rent checks, cards to family — those costs are quietly bleeding your budget a few cents at a time, every single year. It is a reminder that inflation does not just hit the grocery store; it creeps into every corner of your life, and the only defense is paying attention to where every dollar goes.

#2: PepsiCo cuts snack prices but still struggles

PepsiCo dropped prices on its chips and snacks trying to win back American shoppers, but sales in North America still came in weak. People are simply buying less, even with the discounts.

The Raw Truth: When a giant like Pepsi has to cut prices and still cannot get Americans to open their wallets, that tells you everything about how stretched household budgets really are right now. Families are choosing between snacks and necessities, and the snacks are losing. If your grocery bill still feels brutal even when prices dip, you are not imagining it — the squeeze is real, and you are not alone in feeling it.

#3: Aviation mechanic jobs wide open right now

The aviation industry is facing a serious shortage of mechanics as an older generation retires, and new graduates are landing jobs before they even finish school. The pay and demand are both strong.

The Raw Truth: If you or someone you love is stuck in a dead-end job with no ceiling, this is worth a serious look. Trade programs for aviation mechanics are shorter and cheaper than a four-year degree, and the industry is practically begging for workers right now. This is exactly the kind of career move that can change a family's financial trajectory without a mountain of student loan debt dragging you back down.
 
 
 
 

TRACKING YOUR S&P 500 INDEX FUND The Ownership 10

Your 401k S&P 500 index fund — whether you know it as VOO, FXAIX, or the Vanguard Institutional 500 Index Trust — owns all 500 of these companies. When they win, you win.

The Heavy Hitters — Working Hard for You Today:

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) 🟢 Up 4.83% — Apple just signed a $30 billion deal with Broadcom to build AI chips right here in America, and investors loved the news. Broadcom makes the specialized chips that power a lot of the tech you use every day, from your phone to your streaming services.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) 🟢 Up 3.65% — After a rough stretch that wiped nearly a trillion dollars off its value, investors started buying back in today, betting the sell-off went too far. NVIDIA makes the powerful computer chips that run most of the artificial intelligence tools the world is racing to build right now.
Halliburton Company (HAL) 🟢 Up 3.49% — When President Trump declared the Iran ceasefire over and threatened new strikes, oil prices shot up, and companies that help drill for oil got a boost right along with them. Halliburton is basically the crew that shows up to help oil companies get the oil out of the ground — they do the heavy technical work at the drill site.
Walmart Inc. (WMT) 🟢 Up 1.40% — Walmart is quietly making a big push into healthcare, and a fresh report today is putting that bet back in the spotlight. They run the stores where most working families in America buy their groceries, household supplies, and just about everything else.
Chevron Corporation (CVX) 🟢 Up 1.13% — Investors are warming up to the idea that Chevron could cash in on the massive amount of electricity AI data centers need to run, giving the stock a little lift today. Chevron is one of the biggest oil and gas companies in the country — they're behind a lot of the gasoline you pump at the station.

The Benchwarmers — Having a Tough Day (But Still on Your Team):

GE Aerospace (GE) 🔴 Down 2.98% — GE Aerospace has been drifting along with the broader market today, with no single company-specific event driving the move. They make the jet engines on a huge number of the commercial and military planes flying overhead right now.
Boeing Company (The) (BA) 🔴 Down 2.90% — When Trump threatened fresh strikes on Iran yesterday, oil prices jumped and that spooked airlines, which then put pressure on the whole commercial aviation supply chain including Boeing. Boeing builds the passenger jets that most of us fly on when we take a trip.
Procter & Gamble Company (The) (PG) 🔴 Down 2.85% — Procter and Gamble is drifting along with the broader market today, with no specific company news pushing it lower. They make the everyday household staples sitting in your bathroom and under your kitchen sink right now — Tide, Pampers, Gillette, and Crest, just to name a few.
Home Depot (HD) 🔴 Down 2.61% — A broad market sell-off yesterday dragged Home Depot down, and there are growing questions about whether their big push to win over professional contractors is coming at the cost of the everyday do-it-yourself shopper. They run the giant orange hardware stores where you grab paint, lumber, and appliances for your home.
Bank of America Corporation (BAC) 🔴 Down 2.61% — Big bank earnings reports are coming up on July 14th, and investors are getting a little nervous ahead of those numbers dropping. Bank of America is one of the largest banks in the country — they probably hold someone in your family's checking account, savings account, or credit card.

Takeaway: Five companies are winning today. Five are hurting. Your index fund holds all 500. You never have to pick the right one. You just have to stay in. That is the whole game.

 
 
 
 

BACKPAGE The Wacky Corner

In December 1891, a man walked into the New York office of railroad financier Russell Sage and detonated a homemade bomb, demanding $1.2 million or he would blow the place sky high. Sage — worth somewhere between $70 and $100 million at the time — reportedly grabbed a nearby bystander and used the man as a human shield. The bomber died. The bystander was badly injured and later sued Sage for it. Sage fought the lawsuit for years rather than just paying the man. Here is the kicker: Russell Sage, one of the richest men in America, was so legendarily cheap that he reportedly ate lunch at a ten-cent counter and walked to work to save the streetcar fare.

Lesson: Lesson: Hoarding cash out of fear is not wealth — it is just a different kind of broke.

 
 

Love y'all. Attack that debt. Keep those contributions running. The plan does not change.

See you on the road. — Rock (Craig)

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